Oliveira vs Gaethje Betting Guide

Gaethje vs. Oliveira Props

Here is a taste of the props offered around the market for the UFC 274 main event. Peruse your sportsbook apps for plenty more.

Method of Victory (FanDuel)
Oliveira by submission +135
Oliveira by KO/TKO +750
Oliveria by points +500
Gaethje by submission +3400
Gaethje by KO/TKO +200
Gaethje by points +1000

Total Rounds (FanDuel)
2.5 (ov +120, un -152)

Alternate Total Rounds (DraftKings)
0.5 (ov -1100, un +550)
2.5 (ov +110, un -145)
3.5 (ov +180, un -250)
4.5 (ov +275, un -440)

Will Fight Go the Distance (PointsBet)
Yes +325
No -556

How Oliveira Got To UFC 274

Oliveira traveled along one of the most unforeseeable journeys en route to a title. After starting his UFC career at a mediocre 10-8 with one no contest, which included four losses over a six-fight stretch, Oliveira then looked himself in the mirror, built momentum, and has never looked back. He has since been riding a 10-fight win streak (only one by decision), including wins over Kevin Lee, Tony Ferguson, Michael Chandler, and Dustin Poirier.

But 2021 was his most prominent year. He TKO’d Chandler shortly into the second round in UFC 262 to claim the lightweight title, then defended his title against Poirier by third-round submission in UFC 269.

It took Oliveira a record 28 UFC fights before becoming champion. He is now 32-8 in his MMA career, including nine wins by KO/TKO, 20 by submission, and three by decision. His eight losses are made up of four KOs/TKOs, three submissions, and one decision.

Fighting so long and hard to earn his first and only title, and then losing it on the scale, must obviously be frustrating and disappointing to Oliveira. We’ll find out Saturday night if those emotions will help or hurt his chances in the octagon.

How Gaethje Got To Phoenix

Gaethje is coming into this match with redemption all over his mind.

After winning back-to-back bouts against UFC’s all-time leader in wins Donald Cerrone and former interim UFC lightweight champion Tony Ferguson, Gaethje was one win away from becoming champion for the first time in his UFC career. He ultimately lost to Khabib Nurmagomedov from a triangle choke early in the second round of UFC 254.

Gaethje had to then reclimb the mountain to title contention. In one of the most brutal fights that Yahoo Sports chose as its 2021 Fight of the Year, Gaethje earned a unanimous decision win over Chandler in a 15-minute bloodbath at UFC 268.

He now has a second shot at the belt, this time against Oliveira.

Gaethje’s MMA career has been successful, almost entirely thanks to his knockout ability. His record is 23-3, with 19 of those wins ending by KO/TKO. He has won by submission just once, all the way back in 2012. He has three wins decided by the refs. His three losses came from two KOs/TKOs and one submission.

Do Bronx vs. The Highlight Showcases UFC’s Most Competitive Division

Oliveria-Gaethje is more than just the clash of two polar opposite fighting styles: grappling versus striking. It will also show fans how stacked the 155-pound division is. Even with Khabib Nurmagomedov retired and Conor McGregor out of sight, out of mind, 155 is still the deepest and most competitive division in the UFC, and we get to see two of the division’s top-ranked fighters go toe to toe.

In-The-Octagon Preview

This fight will likely contain too much aggressiveness and explosiveness for it to go the distance, and the props are priced accordingly.

Gaethje’s sole submission loss came against one of the greatest wrestlers of all time in Nurmagomedov. It will be interesting to see if Gaethje has similar trouble against arguably the greatest submission and Brazilian jiu-jitsu artist of all time in Oliveira, who holds the record for the most submission wins in UFC history (15).

Gaethje is the hardest-hitting fighter in the division, which may concern Oliveira, as “do Bronx” has shown to have a weak chin early in fights. However, Oliveira is good at prevailing, and with two quality fighters facing off in the octagon, the tight pricing by oddsmakers is understandable.

Co-Main Event: Odds Move Toward Namajunas Over Esparza

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